Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.197528 1.357415 1.531809 1.736325 1.969829 2.228384 2.536761
2026-01-25 0.929678 1.141502 1.392574 1.712888 2.111816 2.593765 3.222422
2026-02-01 0.770667 0.999270 1.286093 1.673906 2.186966 2.845768 3.761172
2026-02-08 0.659368 0.893320 1.200650 1.636269 2.241705 3.059026 4.255569
2026-02-15 0.592183 0.833441 1.163282 1.650495 2.357590 3.355224 4.884961
2026-02-22 0.532122 0.774485 1.117735 1.643653 2.436929 3.601223 5.462380
2026-03-01 0.478608 0.717960 1.067898 1.622113 2.487856 3.805055 5.992399
2026-03-08 0.423979 0.653528 0.998888 1.562472 2.471257 3.899959 6.356511
2026-03-15 0.389825 0.616628 0.967305 1.556194 2.535162 4.123469 6.947869
2026-03-22 0.376186 0.610339 0.982224 1.624597 2.725115 4.567266 7.954514
2026-03-29 0.349077 0.579460 0.954330 1.618624 2.788248 4.802569 8.621437
2026-04-05 0.331220 0.562162 0.946895 1.645866 2.909880 5.148296 9.521589
2026-04-12 0.306019 0.532666 0.920502 1.645445 2.997162 5.468754 10.467914
2026-04-19 0.279081 0.498051 0.882832 1.622680 3.044895 5.729922 11.352951
2026-04-26 0.253479 0.463032 0.840526 1.585869 3.060354 5.929404 12.139074
2026-05-03 0.231105 0.431607 0.801425 1.550314 3.073010 6.122891 12.936534
2026-05-10 0.217405 0.415084 0.788396 1.563753 3.184298 6.526189 14.235266
2026-05-17 0.202724 0.395175 0.766782 1.557290 3.253180 6.848638 15.399795
2026-05-24 0.187977 0.373699 0.739940 1.536941 3.289761 7.105439 16.449601
2026-05-31 0.170977 0.346094 0.698176 1.480592 3.241305 7.169188 17.053142
2026-06-07 0.160536 0.331027 0.680689 1.474660 3.304174 7.490147 18.324502
2026-06-14 0.157406 0.330991 0.694576 1.539287 3.535401 8.227614 20.744206
2026-06-21 0.148345 0.317402 0.678185 1.533644 3.601118 8.579897 22.225204